Showing posts with label Oil Prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oil Prices. Show all posts

Monday, February 8, 2021

Asian shares near all-time peak, oil heads to $60 on economic revival hopes

SYDNEY - Asian shares hovered near record highs on Monday while oil edged closer to $60 a barrel on hopes a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 aid package will be passed by US lawmakers as soon as this month just as coronavirus vaccines are being rolled out globally.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was last up 0.2 percent at 717.2, not far from last week’s record high of 730.6.

Japan’s Nikkei climbed 0.3 percent while Australian shares advanced 0.5 percent led by technology and mining shares.

E-mini futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.3 percent in early Asian trading.

Hopes of a quicker economic revival and supply curbs by producer group OPEC and its allies pushed oil to its highest level in a year as it edged near $60 a barrel.

Global equity markets have scaled record highs in recent days on hopes of faster economic revival led by successful vaccine rollouts and expectations of a large US pandemic relief package.

On Friday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit all-time highs on stronger-than-expected corporate results in the fourth quarter and as companies were on track to post earnings growth for the first quarter instead of a decline.

The rallies came even as US data painted a dour picture of the country’s labor market with payrolls rising by 49,000, half of what economists were expecting.

The weak report spurred the push for more stimulus, underscoring the need for lawmakers to act on President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package.

Biden and his Democratic allies in Congress forged ahead with their stimulus plan on Friday as lawmakers approved a budget outline that will allow them to muscle through in the coming weeks without Republican support.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen predicted the United States would hit full employment next year if Congress can pass its support package.

“That’s a big call given full employment is 4.1 percent, but one that will sit well with the market at a time when the vaccination program is being rolled out efficiently in a number of countries,” said Chris Weston, Melbourne-based chief strategist at Pepperstone.

In currencies, the US dollar came off a four-month high against the Japanese yen to be last at 105.39 following the weak jobs report.

The euro edged up slightly after rising 0.7 percent on Friday to a one-week high of $1.2054. It was last at $1.2044.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar held near a one-week high at $0.7678.

In commodities, Brent crude and US crude climbed 52 cents each to $59.86 and $0.57.37 respectively.

US gold futures were up 0.2 percent at $1,817 an ounce.

-reuters

Tuesday, April 21, 2020

Continued oil market turmoil weighs on global stocks


Oil-price turmoil gripped markets once more Tuesday, a day after US crude futures crashed below zero for the first time as the coronavirus crisis crippled global energy demand and worsened a supply glut.

The commodity rout also sent world equity markets spiraling lower, as investors fretted it could compound an expected deep global economic downturn.

The benchmark WTI price collapsed Monday to an unprecedented low of minus $40.32. Negative prices mean traders must pay to find buyers to take physical possession of the oil -- a job made difficult with the world's storage capacity at bursting point.

A day after its historic slide into negative territory amid a supply glut, US oil futures finished in positive territory.

But the market remained under heavy pressure due to the oversupply as coronavirus shutdowns constrain global growth.

Storage is a particularly big problem in the US where WTI oil is delivered at a single, inland point.

In Europe, where Brent is the benchmark, there are several delivery sites and their proximity to the sea allows some of it to be stored on tankers.

"Players are now paying buyers to take oil volumes away as the physical storage limit will be reached. And they are paying top dollar," said Rystad Energy analyst Louise Dickson.

This week's massive sell-off came just ahead of Tuesday's expiration of the May contract. Most trading has now moved to the June contract, and May WTI was back in positive territory by the close of New York trading.

- 'Slice of pizza' -

Oil markets have been ravaged this year after the pandemic was compounded by a price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia.

"Ever thought that it could be imaginable to see the price of US oil valued at less than a pizza? Or even a slice of pizza? How about for it to actually cost (money) to sell US crude?" said Jameel Ahmad, head of currency strategy and market research at FXTM.

While the two big oil-producing nations have drawn a line under the dispute and agreed with other countries to slash output by almost 10 million barrels a day, that is not enough to offset the lack of demand and prices have remained low.

European benchmark Brent North Sea oil for June delivery tumbled to an 18-year low, before coming off worse levels in volatile deals.

- Stock markets sink -

Equity markets were meanwhile also deep in the red on Tuesday, having enjoyed a healthy couple of weeks thanks to massive stimulus measures and signs of an easing in the rate of new infections globally.

Key eurozone stocks markets closed with declines of up to four percent, while London did a little better thanks to a weaker pound.

On Wall Street, the Dow finished down more than 630 points, or 2.7 percent.

"Continued dysfunction in the crude oil markets" was the main factor behind the decline, analysts at Charles Schwab said, "while the Street continues to assess the timing of when the US economy may be able to reopen."

Analysts warned the drop in stock markets could be an indication that the recent surge may have been hasty, and that another prolonged sell-off is possible.

- Key figures around 2030 GMT -

West Texas Intermediate (May delivery): UP at $10.01 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate (June delivery): DOWN 43 percent at $11.57 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude (May delivery): DOWN 22.1 percent at $19.93

Brent North Sea crude (June delivery): DOWN 24.4 percent at $19.33

New York - Dow: DOWN 2.7 percent at 23,018.88 (close)

New York - S&P 500: DOWN 3.1 percent at 2,736.56 (close)

New York - Nasdaq: DOWN 3.5 percent at 8,263.23 (close)

London - FTSE 100: DOWN 3.0 percent at 5,641,03 points (close)

Frankfurt - DAX 30: DOWN 4.0 percent at 10,249.85 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 3.8 percent at 4,357.46 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 4.1 percent at 2,791.34 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 2.0 percent at 19,280.78 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng: DOWN 2.2 percent at 23,793.55 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.9 percent at 2,827.01 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0859 from $1.0862 at 2100 GMT

Dollar/yen: UP at 107.77 yen from 107.62

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2301 from $1.2442

Euro/pound: UP at 88.27 pence from 87.30

burs-jmb/cs

Agence France-Presse

Thursday, December 1, 2016

Saudis take 'big hit' as OPEC seals first joint oil cut with Russia since 2001


VIENNA -- OPEC agreed on Wednesday its first oil output cuts since 2008 after Saudi Arabia accepted "a big hit" on its production and dropped its demand on arch-rival Iran to slash output.

Non-OPEC Russia will also join output reductions for the first time in 15 years to help the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries prop up oil prices.

Brent crude jumped over 9 percent to more than $50 a barrel as Riyadh reached a compromise with Iran and after fast-growing producer Iraq also agreed to curtail its booming output.

"OPEC has proved to the sceptics that it is not dead. The move will speed up market rebalancing and erosion of the global oil glut," said OPEC watcher Amrita Sen from consultancy Energy Aspects.

Iran and Russia are effectively fighting two proxy wars against Saudi Arabia, in Yemen and Syria, and many sceptics had said the countries would struggle to find a compromise amid frosty political relations.

Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said ahead of the meeting that the kingdom was prepared to accept "a big hit" on production to get a deal done.

"I think it is a good day for the oil markets, it is a good day for the industry and ... it should be a good day for the global economy. I think it will be a boost to global economic growth," he told reporters after the decision.

OPEC produces a third of global oil, or around 33.6 million barrels per day, and under the Wednesday deal it would reduce output by around 1.2 million bpd from January 2017.

Saudi Arabia will take the lion's share of cuts by reducing output by almost 0.5 million bpd to 10.06 million bpd. Its Gulf OPEC allies -- the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar -- would cut by a total 0.3 million bpd.

Iraq, which had insisted on higher output quotas to fund its fight against Islamic State militants, unexpectedly agreed to reduce production -- by 0.2 million bpd.

Iran was allowed to boost production slightly from its October level -- a major victory for Tehran, which has long argued it needs to regain market share lost under Western sanctions.

Clashes between Saudi Arabia and Iran dominated many previous OPEC meetings.

"If you get this deal done, it would be huge. You remove a lot of oil from the market and you get the Russian participation," said veteran OPEC watcher and founder of Pira consultancy Gary Ross.

He said oil could rise to $55 per barrel.

Will OPEC comply?

Falih had long insisted OPEC would do an output-limiting deal only if non-OPEC producers contributed.

OPEC president Qatar said non-OPEC producers had agreed to reduce output by a further 0.6 million bpd, of which Russia would contribute some 0.3 million.

Russia, which had long resisted cutting output, pushed its production to new record highs in recent months.

"Russia will gradually cut output in the first half of 2017 by up to 300,000 barrels per day, on a tight schedule as technical capabilities allow,” Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told a briefing in Moscow.

Novak, who spoke an hour after OPEC announced its deal, did not say from which output levels Russia would cut.

A combined output reduction of 1.8 million bpd by OPEC and non-OPEC represents almost 2 percent of global output and would help the market clear a stocks overhang, which had sent prices crashing from levels as high as $115 a barrel seen in mid-2014.

Non-OPEC Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have said they might also cut.

OPEC suspended Indonesia's membership on Wednesday since the country, a net importer, could not cut output, Qatar said.

The move will not affect OPEC's overall reduction as Indonesia's share of cuts will be redistributed among other members.

Bob McNally, president of Washington-based consultancy Rapidan group, said on Twitter that compliance with cuts would be key: "In deals with Russia, OPEC is like (the late US) President (Ronald) Reagan used to say: 'Trust but verify'."

OPEC will hold talks with non-OPEC producers on December 9. The organization will also have its next meeting on May 25 to monitor the deal and could extend it for six months, Qatar said.

source: interaksyon.com

Friday, October 9, 2015

World oil prices edge higher on OPEC remarks


LONDON - The oil market drifted higher Thursday as investors digested an upbeat demand forecast from the head of the OPEC crude producers' cartel.

Brent North Sea crude for delivery in November added seven cents to stand at $51.40 per barrel just after midday in London.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in November won eight cents to $47.89 per barrel compared with Wednesday's close.

"Oil prices are... recouping some of the losses they suffered yesterday," said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

"The optimistic remarks made about oil demand by OPEC Secretary General El-Badri still appear to be having after-effects," he added.

Traders were mulling remarks by Abdalla Salem El-Badri, secretary-general of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, who stated that demand will rise more than projected this year.

"World oil demand is estimated to increase by 1.5 million barrels per day in 2015, higher than the initial projection," El-Badri said in a statement to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

"In 2016, improvement in global economic activities is anticipated to support world oil demand to grow by 1.3 million barrels per day."

Prices had tumbled Wednesday after a US Department of Energy report showed commercial crude stockpiles rose more than expected in the week ending October 2, indicating softer demand in the world's top oil consuming nation.

Stockpiles rose by 3.1 million barrels, more than the market estimate of 2.25 million barrels. That brought inventories to 461.0 million barrels, more than 27 percent higher than a year ago.

US production, which had fallen by 40,000 barrels per day in the previous week, unexpectedly surged by 76,000 barrels per day, dousing hopes of an easing in the global crude oversupply.

Sanjeev Gupta, who heads the Asia Pacific oil and gas practice at professional services firm EY, added that traders were waiting for Thursday's release of minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Reserve for further clues on the health of the US economy.

source: interaksyon.com

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Oil prices little changed as U.S. oil stocks data disappoints


SINGAPORE - Oil prices were little changed in early Asian trade on Thursday as an unexpected build in U.S. gasoline inventories offset a higher than forecast draw in U.S. crude inventories, while Brent was supported by buoyant manufacturing figures from Europe.

Brent crude for August delivery rose 10 cents to $63.59 a barrel by 0130 GMT (0930 EDT), after settling down 96 cents, or 1.5 percent, in the previous session.

U.S. crude for August delivery shed 9 cents to $60.18 a barrel, after ending the previous session down 74 cents, or 1.2 percent.

"The market is disappointed with last night's numbers," said Mike McCarthy, chief market strategist at Sydney's CMC Markets.

"The spread (between Brent and U.S. crude) had narrowed so it's not surprising it's diverging," McCarthy said.

The spread between Brent and West Texas Intermediate had narrowed towards $3 in trading on Wednesday but was widening in early trade on Thursday.

He said Brent was being supported by strong data from the Euro zone earlier this week which showed private businesses expanded at their fastest pace in four years this month.

But U.S. crude was down due to the larger than expected build in gasoline inventories after the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration released oil stocks data on Wednesday.

The build in gasoline stocks came despite U.S. gasoline demand in the week to June 19 being at highest level for the period since 1991.

U.S. gasoline stocks climbed 680,000 barrels to 218.49 million in the week to June 19, compared with a Reuters poll which expected a 304,000-barrel drop, EIA data showed.

That was despite a larger than expected fall in U.S. crude inventories, which fell for the eighth straight week, by 4.9 million barrels to 462.99 million, in the week ending June 19, compared with analyst expectations of a 2.1 million barrel draw, the EIA said.

source: interaksyon.com

Monday, March 9, 2015

Brent drops toward $59 as dollar firms on U.S. jobs data


SINGAPORE - Brent crude fell toward $59 a barrel on Monday as a promising U.S. jobs report pushed the dollar up, offsetting geopolitical tensions and the threat of output cuts in Libya and Iraq.

The dollar hit a more than 11-year high against a basket of currencies after data showed the U.S. unemployment rate fell to the lowest since May 2008 in February, making commodities priced in the greenback costlier for holders of other currencies

Brent eased 43 cents to $59.30 by 0445 GMT, after dropping 75 cents in the previous session. It fell 4.6 percent last week in its biggest decline since the week ended Jan. 9.

U.S. crude was down 27 cents at $49.34. It closed down $1.15 on Friday to complete a third week of declines.

Goldman Sachs  said in a note that oil prices would reverse recent gains on rising global inventories, with U.S. crude expected to drop to around $40 a barrel.

Oil prices rose by almost a third between January and February on the back of Middle East supply disruptions, strong winter demand and high refinery margins.

But the focus is now on the dollar, analysts said.

"The U.S. dollar is continuing to strengthen. In the short-term it's more about the dollar than anything else," said Ben LeBrun, market analyst at Sydney's OptionsXpress.

U.S. economic data to be released on Tuesday could lead to a further strengthening of the U.S. dollar which would be negative for commodities including oil, said LeBrun.

He said geopolitical issues in North Africa and the Middle East "are all playing second fiddle to the U.S. dollar".

Goldman said in its note that "absent further unexpected OPEC disruptions, we expect Brent oil prices and timespreads to reverse their recent strength".

Members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) should not cut output to "subsidize" higher-cost shale, OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri has said.

In Libya, up to 10 foreign workers are missing in the latest attack on the country's oil fields by Islamist militants and there is a possibility they have been taken hostage, Czech and Libyan officials said on Saturday.

Brent should trade within a range of $55.36-$63.04 this week, said Singapore's Phillip Futures in a note on Monday.

U.S. crude should trade between $48.45-$55.02 although prices could move sharply upwards if the U.S. refinery strikes end this week, Phillip Futures said.

source: interaksyon.com

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Oil up from early sell-off as Brent sets 2015 high


NEW YORK - Oil closed up after a weak start on Tuesday, with Brent crude rising to a 2015 high of $63 a barrel as short-covering returned to a market depressed earlier by worries about euro zone stability.

Threats to Middle East crude production and the falling U.S. oil rig count seemed to spur market bulls despite global inventory data suggesting an oversupply of up to 2 million barrels per day, analysts and traders said.

"We're in this mode where the market continues to discount bearish news," said Dominick Chirichella, senior partner at the Energy Management Institute in New York. "Certainly there is some positive news out there about Libya and rest of the Middle East, but I don't see anything that's overly bullish."

Options for the front-month March contract in U.S. crude oil also expired on Tuesday, possibly adding to the rebound, brokers said. A similar upward move was observed a month ago when options expired in the previous front-month contract for U.S. crude.

Brent oil's front-month contract for April delivery settled up $1.13 at $62.53 a barrel, rebounding from the day's low of $60.27. The session peak of $63 was the highest since Dec. 18.

U.S. crude futures for March CLc1 closed up 75 cents at $53.53, versus an intraday low at $50.81.

Oil prices slumped about 60 percent between June and January on fears of a supply glut. Since February began, they have rebounded more than 10 percent on short-covering spurred by speculation that the market had hit bottom and concerns about fighting in the Middle East.

Violence in Libya has shut all major ports and oil exports from the country have collapsed to just a trickle.

Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan Regional Government has threatened to withhold oil exports if Baghdad failed to send its share of the budget.

The International Energy Agency's chief economist Fatih Birol said on Tuesday the rise of Islamic State presented a major challenge for the investment necessary to prevent an oil shortage in the next decade.

Market bears, meanwhile, point to a Reuters poll that shows U.S. commercial crude oil stockpiles likely rose again in the week ended Feb. 13 to record highs above 420 million barrels.

Oil was down earlier in the day after Greece rejected an international bailout plan. In east Ukraine, pro-Russian rebels and government forces fought street-to-street, further dampening hopes that a European-brokered peace deal will end the conflict.

source: interaksyon.com

Monday, February 16, 2015

Asia shares edge up, Greece uncertainty lingers


SYDNEY - Most Asian share markets were fractionally higher on Monday following a record close on Wall Street, with investors cautiously optimistic the European Union would make progress this week on a debt deal with Greece.

Oil prices extended their bounce as Brent topped $62 a barrel, while the major currencies stayed locked in recent tight ranges.

Data from Japan showed the economy emerged from recession in the final quarter of last year, though growth of 0.6 percent was short of market forecasts.

Investors still seemed encouraged and the Nikkei firmed 0.6 percent in early trade.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan recouped a small initial loss to inch ahead.

The index boasted its highest close since late October on Friday but is bumping up against a major band of chart resistance in the 484 to 486 area.

Australia's main index eased 0.2 percent, while South Korean shares rose by a matching amount.

Holidays will be a feature this week with the United States off on Monday and much of Asia celebrating the Lunar New Year. China's markets are off from Feb. 18 right through to the 24th.

The Eurogroup of finance ministers meets in Brussels later Monday to try to find common ground with Greece' new government, in talks that could drag on for some time.

Greece said on Sunday it was confident of reaching agreement in negotiations with its euro zone partners, but reiterated it would not accept harsh austerity strings in any debt pact.

Markets have generally assumed a compromise would eventually be found, given the alternative might be a disastrous Greek exit from the euro.

The S&P 500 ended at a record high on Friday, as energy shares gained with oil prices, while the Nasdaq hit a 15-year high helped by technology stocks.

The Dow gained 0.26 percent, while the S&P 500 added 0.41 percent and the Nasdaq 0.75 percent. The FTSEuroFirst index of 300 leading shares closed up 0.64 percent, helped by upbeat growth data from Germany.

Without a clear outcome on Greece, there is little conviction to buy or sell the euro. As a result, the common currency has been drifting in a slim $1.1262-1.1534 range in the last few weeks. It was last flat at $1.1400.

Against the yen, the euro was a touch softer at 135.00, off a three-week peak of 136.70 reached last Thursday. The dollar slipped to 118.59 yen, recoiling from a one-month high of 120.48 set last Wednesday.

The main mover on Monday was sterling, which scaled a six-week peak following recent hawkish-sounding comments from the Bank of England. The pound climbed as far as $1.5435 in early trade, from around $1.5407 late on Friday.

In commodities, oil was supported by signs that deeper industry spending cuts may curb excess supply. Brent crude rose 42 cents to $61.94 per barrel, while U.S. crude added 34 cents to $53.12 per barrel.

source: interaksyon.com

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Oil prices extend slide as growing glut triggers floating storage


SINGAPORE - Oil prices slid in early Asian trade on Wednesday after touching their lowest in nearly six years the previous session, with analysts predicting further falls as oversupply plagues the market.

Oil tumbled 5 percent to near six-year lows on Tuesday, with the Brent crude international benchmark briefly trading at par to U.S. prices for the first time in three months as some traders moved to take advantage of ample U.S. storage space.

February Brent crude had dropped 40 cents since its last settlement to $46.19 a barrel by 0238 GMT. U.S. crude for February was trading at $45.60 a barrel, down 29 cents.

Analysts said prices would stay under pressure as oversupply hurts both the American WTI contract and globally traded Brent, with some traders beginning to book ships for oil storage.

"Our latest forecast calls for Brent oil to average $45 per barrel during 1Q15 (the first quarter of 2015)," Nomura bank said on Wednesday.

Oil storage trends also imply further price falls, with U.S. stocks possibly approaching 80 percent of capacity by the upcoming spring season, according to U.S.-based PIRA Energy Group.

"The last time the United States built inventories in December was in the middle of the financial crisis in 2008," the firm said.

Outside the United States, some of the world's biggest oil traders have booked supertankers to store at least 25 million barrels at sea in recent days, seeking to take advantage of the crash in crude prices and make a profit down the line.

"Once floating storage starts, there is very little support on the downside for Brent spreads," Energy Aspects said.

U.S. crude prices have been cheaper than Brent almost without interruption as soaring North American shale oil production pulled down prices while the rest of the world market remained more tightly supplied.

But with oil producer club OPEC deciding late last year to maintain its output despite slowing Asian and European economic growth and to defend its market share, including against surging U.S. competition, a glut has also appeared outside the United States, pulling down Brent prices close to U.S. levels.

"The closing gap looks to be solidifying Saudi Arabia's strategy to curb shale production and protect market share," ANZ bank said.

source: interaksyon.com

Saturday, December 20, 2014

Oil, stocks go their separate ways


NEW YORK - Investors have wrung their hands over the last several weeks over the effect of lower oil prices on the broader S&P 500, but the relationship between the two is actually starting to break down.

Crude prices had dropped more than 10 percent in the trading week ended Dec. 12. That was largely responsible for a 3.5 percent drop in the S&P 500, as investors fled stocks over concerns about energy-sector bonds, corporate earnings, and expectations for world economic demand.

That seemed to change Thursday. The S&P 500 surged while oil fell, a potential change in sentiment among investors looking to focus on sectors that may benefit from an accelerating U.S. economy.

"The proof is that oil turned down and the market said, 'Oh, that was yesterday's news, today we're moving ahead,'" said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial in Newark, New Jersey.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch credit strategist Hans Mikkelsen credited the decoupling partly to Fed Chair Janet Yellen's Wednesday news conference.

"She explained how declining oil prices are expected to be a net positive for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, she went out of her way to dismiss any downward pressure on inflation as transitory."

Investors may have already priced in the effect of cheaper oil on energy-sector earnings and are now starting to weigh the positives for other sectors.

In its 2015 global outlook, fund manager Pimco said the fall in energy costs, because it is largely supply-driven, should ultimately help growth in major economies, including the United States, Japan, and the euro zone.

Fourth-quarter energy-sector earnings are expected to decline 19.2 percent from a year ago; on October 1, growth of 6.6 percent was expected.

"You will see some pain in the short term because of fourth quarter earnings," said James Liu, global market strategist at JPMorgan Funds in Chicago. "So the broad S&P 500 will take a hit based on that, but over the next several quarters it is clearly going to be a good thing."

As recently as Tuesday, the 10-day correlation between the S&P 500 and Brent crude stood at 0.97, meaning each moved in almost perfect sync with the other. The correlation has been breaking down and last stood at 0.42, with Brent stumbling 3.1 percent, while the S&P 500 surged 2.4 percent, on Thursday.

According to data from S&P, energy has fallen to a market share representation of 8.31 percent, from 9.7 percent at the end of the third quarter, as names such as Denbury Resources, Nabors Industries and Halliburton have each tumbled more than 35 percent.

With investors hoping oil prices have at least stabilized as Brent hovers around the $60 mark, selling pressure could resume on equities if the downward march for oil begins again, weighing on the broader S&P index and tightening the correlation.

source: interaksyon.com

Saturday, December 13, 2014

Oil slump leads Wall Street to worst week in 2-1/2 years


NEW YORK - U.S. stocks fell sharply on Friday, leaving the benchmark S&P 500 with its worst weekly performance since May 2012, as investors pulled back from the markets in response to oil's free-fall and more weak data out of China.

Oil's declines have underscored concerns about global demand, and with the S&P 500 having hit a record high only last week, investors were loath to fight the downward pressure on stocks, which accelerated in the final minutes of trading. The S&P dropped 3.5 percent on the week after seven straight weeks of gains.

The S&P energy sector .SPNY was down 2.2 percent on the day. It is down 16.5 percent this year, the worst performing of 10 S&P sectors. Dow components Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp both hit 52-week lows as U.S. crude oil fell below $58 a barrel, hitting five-year lows, on expectations of reduced worldwide energy demand.

"Certainly as midday came the market did not stabilize at all, so sellers knew that," said Kenny Polcari, director of the NYSE floor division at O’Neil Securities in New York. "Energy is at the top of the list in terms of the names getting crushed."

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 315.51 points, or 1.79 percent, to 17,280.83, the S&P 500 lost 33 points, or 1.62 percent, to 2,002.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 54.57 points, or 1.16 percent, to 4,653.60.

Disappointing data that suggested China's economy softened in November pushed the materials sector  down 2.9 percent, making it the worst-performing S&P sector on the day.

The drop in oil and weakness in China overshadowed strong U.S. consumer sentiment, which hit an eight-year high.

Some investors hope declining gas prices will boost consumer spending enough to offset the energy sector's woes.

However, there is concern that rising volatility in the energy market will migrate to equities as investors worry about slack demand worldwide. The CBOE Volatility Index rose 5 percent to 21.08 on Friday as investors paid up to hedge against losses.

Polcari, however, noted that the S&P 500's declines came to within a whisper of the 50-day moving average at 2,000, where he expects to see buyers emerge next week.

Adobe Systems rose 9 percent to $76.02, making it the biggest gainer on the S&P 500 after it announced plans to buy stock photography company Fotolia, along with a stronger quarterly report.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 2,468 to 647, for a 3.81-to-1 ratio on the downside; on the Nasdaq, 1,949 issues fell and 790 advanced for a 2.47-to-1 ratio favoring decliners.

The broad S&P 500 index posted 15 new 52-week highs and 35 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 52 new highs and 160 new lows.

About 7.6 billion shares were traded on U.S. exchanges on Friday, compared to the 6.9 billion daily average so far this month, according to BATS Global Markets data.

source: interaksyon.com

Monday, November 17, 2014

Global stocks fall, oil dips as Japan slips into recession


LONDON - Shares fell and the oil price slid on Monday after data showed Japan had slipped into recession, raising concerns about global growth.

European shares opened lower. They followed Tokyo's Nikkei index which lost 3 percent, its biggest one-day drop since August on news that the world's third-largest economy unexpectedly shrank by an annualised 1.6 percent in the third quarter.

This followed a 7.3 percent contraction in the previous quarter caused by a rise in the national sales tax and ran counter to economists forecasts for a 2.1 percent rebound.

The data initially pushed the yen to a seven-year low against the dollar, but as Tokyo stocks fell the Japanese currency rebounded.

It also shaved $1 off the price of Brent crude oil and sent ripples across Europe, where the FTSEurofirst 300 pan-European share index was down 0.3 percent.

Data on Friday showed euro zone economic output expanded more than expected in the third quarter but remained weak.

Leaders from the G20 group of countries agreed on Sunday a package of measures they said would add an extra 2.1 percentage points to growth over five years. They also agreed steps to tackle climate change and crack down on tax avoidance.

But financial markets focused on Japan's economic downturn.

"It's a bit of shock for the market, because people believed that the Bank of Japan had everything under control. But overall, the initial negative reaction shouldn't last too long. Investors still expect central bank action worldwide to support the global economy," FXCM analyst Nicolas Cheron said.

Other Asian shares also fell. MSCI's main index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan lost 0.5 percent.

Chinese equities dropped as profit taking outweighed buying by foreign investors as a landmark Hong Kong-Shanghai trading link debuted on Monday.

The Shanghai Composite ended down 0.2 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 1 percent.

The yen was the big mover on foreign exchange markets. After the GDP data, it fell to as low as 117.06 to the dollar but later rebounded and was last at 116.12, up 0.3 percent on the day.

The dollar index dipped 0.1 percent as a result and the euro made a similar gain versus the greenback.

As the Japanese data stoked concerns about the global economy, undermining stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data on Friday, German 10-year Bund yields also fell, opening down 2 basis points at 0.77 percent, just above a record low of 0.716 percent.

Brent crude last traded at $78.32 a barrel, down 1.4 percent after the Japanese data was seen hitting global demand.

"This is another knock on crude oil prices, another bearish factor," said Tony Nunan, oil risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp.

Eyes remain on possible OPEC production cuts when the oil cartel meets next week.

Gold held near two-week highs on a softer dollar. Spot gold was last at $1,185.60.

source: interaksyon.com

Friday, October 3, 2014

Oil prices rise ahead of US jobs report


SINGAPORE, October 3, 2014 (AFP) - The cost of oil rose in Asia Friday ahead of the latest US jobs report and after hitting multi-month lows a day earlier in response to key exporter Saudi Arabia cutting prices.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for November delivery rose 16 cents to $91.17 while Brent crude for November gained 11 cents to $93.53 in mid-morning trade.

Singapore's United Overseas Bank (UOB) said investors are keenly eyeing the release of the September US jobs report later Friday.

"For the September non-farm payrolls, markets are looking at a job creation of 215,000, up from 142,000 in August, while unemployment is expected to stay unchanged at 6.1 percent," UOB said.

US jobs figures are closely watched by crude investors for clues on the state of economic recovery and demand in the world's top oil consumer.

The gains on Friday come after WTI prices tumbled below $90 in New York intra-day trade following Riyadh's announcement of lower prices for the fourth straight month.

WTI retreated to $88.18 -- a level last seen on April 23, 2013 -- before recovering to $91.01.

In London, Brent dropped to $91.55 a barrel, last hit in June 2012, but later rebounded to $93.42 at the close.

Analysts say the move by Saudi Arabia, OPEC's biggest producer, signals its focus on maintaining market share amid a broader increase in production by rivals.

source: interaksyon.com

Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Petroleum prices rise on strong US, China manufacturing data


SINGAPORE - Oil prices rose in Asian trade Tuesday on strong manufacturing data from top global energy guzzlers the United States and China, analysts said.

US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for delivery in July gained 15 cents to $102.62 a barrel while Brent North Sea crude for July was up 11 cents to $108.94 in afternoon trading.

Analysts said oil prices were tracking gains on Wall Street Monday after the Institute of Supply Management said its purchasing managers index of US manufacturing activity rose in May to 55.4 from 54.9 in April.

China's official purchasing managers index (PMI) of manufacturing activity reached 50.8 in May, the government said Sunday, a five-month high, up from 50.4 in March.

PMI data is a closely watched indicator of the health of a country's economy, and a reading above 50 indicates growth.

"The oil market at the moment is focused on the manufacturing data out of the US and China," Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney, told AFP.

"But we are seeing some of the risk premium associated with Ukraine coming off as the crisis continues to drag on with new developments having little impact," McCarthy said. "That is dampening any upside factor on oil."

Government forces and pro-Russian insurgents have been embroiled in skirmishes for weeks in eastern Ukraine, but the fighting has so far not expanded into a full-fledged civil war in the ex-Soviet state.

The West has accused Russia of fomenting unrest in its neighbour since the ousting of pro-Kremlin president Viktor Yanukovych in February. Moscow denies the allegation.

Investors fear a full-blown conflict in Ukraine, a conduit for a quarter of European gas imports from Russia, will disrupt supplies and send energy prices soaring.

source: interaksyon.com

Monday, December 30, 2013

Oil prices rise in Asian trade amid falling US inventories


SINGAPORE - Oil prices edged higher in thin Asian trade Monday as investors focused on a fall in US crude inventories, indicating robust demand in the world's top consumer.

New York's main contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for February delivery, was up two cents at $100.34 in afternoon trade while Brent North Sea crude for February gained 19 cents to $112.37.

The US Department of Energy on Friday reported that crude inventories for the week to December 20 fell by 4.7 million barrels, more than the 2.2 million expected by analysts in a Wall Street Journal survey.

The decline was the fourth consecutive drop after a 10-week run of rises that added 35 million barrels to total stockpiles.

Desmond Chua, market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney, said the falling inventories in the world's biggest economy underscored "stronger demand as the global outlook brightens".

The upbeat stockpiles report released on Friday, delayed due to the Christmas holidays, is supporting WTI prices above the "psychologically important" $100 mark, Chua said.

The report came amid other signs the US economy is picking up. Data released last week showed new home sales, durable goods orders and jobless claims also bested expectations.

Investors meanwhile continue to monitor developments in South Sudan, where violence in a key oil-producing region has dented crude output and led to numerous oilfield staff evacuations.

More than 1,000 people have died since fighting between forces loyal to President Salva Kiir and former vice president Riek Machar broke out on December 15.

The United Nations said in a statement that the number of people who have taken refuge in its bases around the country has grown to 75,000.

Analysts say the fledgling producer usually exports about 220,000 barrels of crude oil a day to Japan, Malaysia and China.

source: interaksyon.com

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

World shares gain as U.S. storm damage seen limited


LONDON - World shares rose modestly while the dollar weakened on Tuesday as the initial impact of a massive storm in the United States looked to have been less severe than feared.

The greenback was also knocked by a resurgent yen after the Bank of Japan disappointed many investors by easing policy less aggressively than had been hoped after a slump in factory output and exports during September.

However, activity was subdued everywhere since U.S. share and bond markets were closed on Tuesday as one of the biggest storms to hit the country, codenamed Sandy, left large areas of New York City without power or public transport.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was up 0.75 percent at 1,101.90 points and, after gains earlier in Asia, the MSCI world equity index had risen 0.3 percent to 328.88 points.

U.S. stock index futures, which kept trading in Europe, edged lower but volumes were very light. .N

Strategists said it was too early to tell what impact the destruction caused by Sandy might have on markets.

"Volumes are very low with Wall Street (closed), which makes today's gains quite fragile, and the potential impact of the storm for the insurance sector, estimated at around $20 billion, has not been priced in yet," said Patrice Perois, trader at Kepler Capital Markets in Paris.

Demand for the dollar and U.S. bonds tends to rise in times of reduced appetite to take on risk, but if widespread damage prompts speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve could ease monetary policy further to shore up the economy, they could fall back.

Across European stock markets' attention was on corporate earnings with results from well known names like Deutsche Bank, Swiss banking giant UBS and oil major BP lifting prices. UBS shares leapt over four percent as it confirmed a plan to cut 10,000 jobs.

Britain's FTSE 100 index was up 0.8 percent, Germany's DAX index up 0.9 percent and Switzerland's SMI index up 0.5 percent.

Modest BOJ move

In currency markets, the yen rose broadly after a new plan from the Bank of Japan to increase its asset purchases by 11 trillion yen ($138 billion) disappointed some market players who had positioned for a more aggressive increase.

"It was a very skeptical response to the BOJ policy meeting, made worse by the fact they have revised lower the growth and inflation outlook," said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank. "That has seen the yen unwind a lot of the softer tone we saw going into this meeting."

The dollar hit a one-week low of 79.28 yen and was down 0.3 percent against a basket of major currencies at 79.67 points.

The weaker dollar helped the European common currency climb 0.4 percent to $1.2958, with lower yields on Spanish and Italian bonds adding to the better mood.

But gains for the euro are still expected to be limited by continuing questions over whether Greece can agree a deal with its creditors, and when Spain might request financial aid.

Spain fell deeper into recession in the third quarter and prices rose sharply in October, according to new data, keeping pressure on the government to take some action as the prospect of further civil unrest grows.

"Spain's economy is suffering terribly, which will continue to hit government revenues, and a modest decline in bond yields will not solve the problem," said Kit Juckes, strategist at Societe Generale.

Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has maintained an ambivalent stance towards applying for a politically embarrassing rescue that would kickstart an ECB bond-buying programme and ease financing costs.

Investors, too, seem willing to wait; 10-year Spanish bond yields were little changed at 5.66 percent.

German government bonds, the benchmark of European fixed-income markets, were also mostly flat.

Italy was even able to sell 7 billion euros of new five- and 10-year government bonds at its lowest cost since May 2011.

Italian 10-year yields were 3 basis points lower on the day at 4.98 percent, having risen about 25 basis points in the last two weeks.

Oil floats

In oil markets, prices were edging higher as traders awaited news of the damage inflicted by Sandy on refineries and pipelines, although weaker demand from the storm-hit region capped gains.

Brent crude for December rose 13 cents to $109.57 a barrel, recovering from a fall to $108.75 earlier, while U.S. crude for December was up 40 cents at $85.94.

U.S. gasoline futures were little changed at $2.7530 a gallon, after climbing more than 5 cents on Monday on expectations of tighter supply.

"People are just holding back a little bit to see if there's any real damage and impact, and at the moment it's too hard to see," said Bjarne Schieldrop, an analyst at SEB in Oslo.

source: interaksyon.com

Friday, September 14, 2012

Oil rises in Asia on Fed stimulus


SINGAPORE - Oil prices rallied in Asia Friday as traders welcomed a fresh, third round of bond-buying, or quantitative easing, announced by the US Federal Reserve, analysts said.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October surged 91 cents to $99.22 a barrel in the afternoon and Brent North Sea crude for November delivery added 63 cents to $116.51.

Crude markets rose after traders' hopes for stimulus announcements at the end of a two-day Fed meeting Thursday were met, IG Markets said in a report.

The Fed on Thursday announced the new, open-ended $40 billion per month programme that it said would remain in place until there was substantial improvement in the jobs market.

"Never fear, QE3 is here. At long last the markets got what they wanted as (Fed chief Ben) Bernanke finally announced another ambitious bond-buying programme he hopes will lead to a sustainable recovery in the US economy," the report stated.

"The icing on the cake announced last night was that no defined time limit was announced for QE3."

The Fed also pledged to keep its benchmark interest rate at ultra-low levels until at least mid-2015.

source: interaksyon.com

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Oil rises in Asia on Fed stimulus hopes

SINGAPORE - Crude advanced in Asia on Thursday as hopes rose that the US Federal Reserve would kickstart the economy of the world's largest oil consumer, analysts said.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October rose 43 cents to $97.69 a barrel and Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gained 48 cents to $115.39.

Hopes for a fresh round of quantitative easing from the Fed were boosted Wednesday when minutes of its last policy meeting were published, IG Markets said in a report.

The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting three weeks ago showed there was support by "many members" for additional stimulus to the US economy soon unless economic data turns around.

"Having spent the last few months watching from in the stands, QE3 is now sitting on the bench waiting for the call to come on as a last-gasp substitute," the IG report said, referring to a new round of quantitative easing.

"That is how things look this morning after Fed minutes stated that another round of large-scale asset purchases could happen 'fairly soon'."

The minutes said: "Many members judged that additional monetary accommodation would likely be warranted fairly soon unless incoming information pointed to a substantial strengthening in the pace of the recovery."

source: interaksyon.com

Monday, August 20, 2012

Shell lifts price freeze over flood-affected areas


MANILA, Philippines — Pilipinas Shell announced over the weekend that it is lifting the oil price freeze effective on Monday, August 20, in flood-stricken areas last week.







In a statement, the oil firm said the fuel price adjustments effective are as follows:

V-Power Nitro+ Gasoline and Racing: +P1.80
Kerosene:+P1.60
Diesel: +P1.50
Regular: +P1.70

Price movement effective only in: whole of NCR, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, Zambales, and Rizal provinces. Sta.. Cruz and Pagsanjan in Laguna; Bacoor, Kawit and Rosario in Cavite.

source: interaksyon.com

Saturday, July 14, 2012

In Oil Boom, a Housing Shortage and Other Issues


MIDLAND, Tex. — In the desolate outskirts of this thriving West Texas oil town, two men recently showed off a new 400-square-foot wood cabin they hope to rent out for $1,500 a month. A planned expansion includes spaces for 30 recreational vehicles and nine additional cabins — and maybe more.




“This morning, the boss man was asking if we could duplicate this across the fence,” said Danny Wallace, who works for Jones Brothers Dirt & Paving Contractors, the company developing the site.

Housing as expensive as New York City’s has become the norm in Midland, amid an oil boom that is rapidly reshaping the area. With oil prices hovering above $80 a barrel, more than double their level of early 2009, workers have flocked here from elsewhere in Texas and the nation, lured by jobs working on rigs or driving trucks. But the resulting housing shortages, traffic and strain on schools has some residents shaking their heads.

“I was born and raised here in Midland, and it’s never been like this,” Kenney DeLaGarza, a building inspector for the city, said as he stood on a gravel road beside a patch of land covered with trailers. Fields where his parents once took him to shoot fireworks, he said, have turned into housing developments — sometimes with pump jacks in the backdrop.

Booms — and busts — have been a way of life here since oil began flowing from Permian Basin wells in the 1920s. Midland is where George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush made their names in oil. The mayor, Wes Perry, is also an oilman, and he sometimes takes calls about city matters from his EGL Resources office.

Today, the Permian Basin accounts for 14 percent of the nation’s oil production. That is far more than the combined output of other Texas fields, including the Eagle Ford Shale, and more than the Bakken Shale in North Dakota, another major drilling region.

This latest boom has been driven by hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, the technique of shooting water, sand and chemicals deep underground to crack hard rock and release oil. (The Permian Basin also produces natural gas, but some gets flared off, partly because of a pipeline shortage.)

Fracking has allowed drillers to produce more oil than ever before, although the wells are more expensive, according to Tommy Taylor, the drilling manager with Fasken Oil and Ranch, an oil company that is building a new headquarters on Midland’s northwest edge. Also, fracking’s demand on aquifers has added to deep concerns about water availability in a region so parched that oil field trucks can kick up clouds of dust that look like smoke.

Amid the resurgent drilling, Midland officials estimate that the city’s population has swelled by about 8 percent in the last two years, to about 120,000. There is talk of eventually hitting the 150,000 mark. Unemployment in Midland in May stood at just 3.8 percent — the lowest for a metropolitan area in the state — followed by nearby Odessa, at 4.3 percent.

The oil fields offer generous pay, starting at around $15 an hour, Mr. Taylor said. That leaves other businesses scrambling for workers. Along a half-mile stretch of the Andrews Highway, an artery through the heart of Midland, “help wanted” signs are ubiquitous — at Long John Silver’s, Pizza Hut, Wendy’s, Whataburger, CVS and the Way Out West Steak & Buffet.

“If you can’t get a job in Midland, Tex., you’re not going to make it,” said Jack Naumann, a geologist who has lived here since 1969.

Even as more workers arrive, there is no guarantee they can find housing. That is why Jones Brothers, the company Mr. Wallace works for, is building the two-bed cabins and renting out trailer spaces with utility hookups.

Jones Brothers, whose products include crushed limestone, is thriving. (“We sell everything we can crush,” Mr. Wallace said.) But it is struggling to find places to house prospective workers, who call about jobs from as far away as Indiana.

“We have to tell them we’ve got the work, but we’ve got a problem with living conditions,” Mr. Wallace said. He plans to reserve some spaces in the new development for Jones Brothers workers and rent out the rest; a Craigslist ad, placed in late June, plus word of mouth, yielded at least 50 calls over two weeks, mostly for the R.V. spaces, he said.

Besides subdivisions, cabins and R.V. parks, which are sometimes called “man camps,” hotels are going up rapidly. On Midland’s western edge, near the ballpark that is home to the city’s minor-league RockHounds baseball team (which projects record-breaking attendance this year), four hotels are being built or expanded, essentially within sight of one another.

At the Sleep Inn & Suites, workers are rushing to complete a new wing in time for a major oil convention in October. “All the rooms that you see are rented,” said Dwayne Felker, who works for the construction company Shell Craft, speaking in the still-skeletal interior above the sounds of hammering and clinking.

The hotels and other new developments could even start to meld Midland and Odessa, which lie 20 miles apart but vie with each other on and off the high school football field.

“ ‘Modessa’ — it’s going to happen eventually,” said Mr. DeLaGarza, who does frequent inspections at a vast new subdivision near the ballpark.

Some existing neighborhoods are wrestling with a different issue: drilling. Over the past 18 months, the City Council approved more than a dozen permits for drilling within city limits, and at least eight more are up for consideration in the next two months, according to John James, a councilman. Only a few have been rejected — one of them in the northwest Midland neighborhood where Craig Tellinghuisen, a retiree who worked in the oil business decades ago, lives.

“One of the reasons that my wife and I moved out here was the peace and quiet and the country environment,” Mr. Tellinghuisen said of the area, which he moved to 11 years ago. Now, he is concerned about truck traffic and the noise of drilling. (The oil company has reapplied for the permit.)

Regionwide, a surge in road accidents has raised concern. A recent report from the Midland-Odessa Transportation Alliance found that the traffic fatality rate for the Permian Basin area in 2010 was two and a half times higher than in the rest of Texas — and crashes and deaths have only climbed since.

“We’re very concerned,” said James Beauchamp, the president of the alliance, which launched its Drive Smart campaign last week, with notices online and around town. In one especially awful week in June, he said, there were nine traffic deaths.

Even schools are feeling the strains of the boom. The Midland Independent School District has about 22,500 students and is adding about 750 a year, according to its superintendent, Ryder Warren. The district plans to seek a bond issue that will probably include money to build three elementary schools, Dr. Warren said. Meanwhile, dozens of portable classrooms have been set up.

All of the challenges have some people wondering when the boom is going to end, or at least ease. Longtime Midlanders say a bust is inevitable — it is just a matter of time. Oil prices have fallen more than 20 percent from their highs of around $110 per barrel in February.

Mr. Taylor, the Fasken drilling manager, said that the recent price drop has already had an impact, and that for fracking — an expensive process — to continue, the economics must work.

“If they don’t,” he said, “people will quit drilling wells.”

source: nytimes.com