Market may trade sideways this week

MANILA, Philippines — The stock market this week may be characterised by follow through buying on Chinese New Year ahead of the release of the January inflation numbers, according to First Metro Investment Corp. vice president Cristina Ulang.

Ulang said investors would closely monitor the corporate earnings report, noting that outperformance versus estimates would hold the key to sustained foreign buying.

Christopher Mangun, head of Eagle Equities, said that there may be lower trading volumes this week.


“This week is the first trading week of February and with only four days of trading we are going to see lower trading volumes as the holiday is in the middle of week and investors may take a break from trading and take the week off,” he said

Thus, he said the market may continue to trade sideways between 8,000 and 8,200.

“The index may end the week lower, but the key is for it to stay above the 8,000 level. If we continue to see heavy foreign inflows, then the market may sustain its current momentum. Local investors have started taking some risk off the table and currently foreign money is supporting the market. With earnings reports set to start coming in this week on top of better inflation numbers for January, we may see the market factor this is and maintain its current trajectory,” he said.

Last week, the market was pulled up by rosy western equities markets which rose after dovish comments from the US Fed.

The main index ended the week 90.96 points higher or 1.13 percent to close at 8,144.16.

In the first three days of trading, there was a pullback, even touching the 7,900 support level.

However, in the last two trading days there was already  a complete reversal, eventually breaking above 8,100 in the afternoon trading session on Friday, Mangun said.

Foreign money flooded the market with net foreign buying at P5.74 billion.

In all, the PSEi ends the month of January 7.3 percent higher which is the market’s best performance since March 2016.

source: philstar.com

Stocks rally on U.S. data, euro slides further

NEW YORK - Wall Street stocks rebounded on Friday on signs the U.S. economy was on track for solid growth with consumer sentiment hitting an 11-year high, while the euro slid further against the dollar a day after Switzerland ditched its currency cap.

Crude prices rallied on the U.S. sentiment report and after the International Energy Agency said lower prices had begun to curb production in some areas, including North America. The IEA said prices might fall further, but "signs are mounting that the tide will turn."

U.S. gasoline prices fell again in December, leading consumer prices to post their biggest decline in six years, while a gauge of underlying inflation was flat. The data could make the Federal Reserve cautious about raising interest rates.

Global equity markets rebounded, with U.S. stocks capping five straight sessions of losses. European shares rose on growing expectations of economic stimulus from the European Central Bank.

Wall Street surged at the close. Major U.S. indexes rose more than 1 percent in what Ken Polcari, director of the NYSE floor division of O'Neil Securities in New York, said had the makings of a relief rally.

"The market has been under complete duress for five or six days, the tone has been very ugly. Today it seems most things have calmed down, so buyers have started to step back in," he said.

The University of Michigan said U.S. consumer sentiment rose in January on employment and income gains, with spending power boosted by sliding gasoline prices.

The "outstanding" report countered fears that tumbling oil prices would curb growth, said Phil Orlando, chief equity strategist at Federated Investors in New York. He said cheaper energy will boost discretionary spending, and added that a disappointing retail sales report this week excluded online sales and gift cards and was skewered by seasonal factors.

"The psychology of the market has been horribly negative for the last couple of weeks," said Orlando. "What turned the market around today was plain and simple: the Michigan number was outstanding."

The day after the euro lost Swiss support, the single currency slid to $1.1461, its weakest since November 2003. It last traded at $1.1567, down 0.52 percent. Against the yen, the dollar was up 1.23 percent at 117.59 yen.

On equity markets, MSCI's all-country world index gained 0.76 percent. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index of leading regional companies closed up 0.99 percent at 1,407.17 points.

Swiss stocks sank again on concerns a stronger franc will hurt Swiss multinationals that depend on exports. The Swiss blue-chip index SMI closed down 6 percent.

Morgan Stanley estimated that 85 percent of Swiss company sales come from abroad.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 190.86 points, or 1.1 percent, at 17,511.57. The S&P 500 rose 26.75 points, or 1.34 percent, to 2,019.42 and the Nasdaq Composite added 63.56 points, or 1.39 percent, to 4,634.38.

U.S. Treasuries prices fell after the strong consumer sentiment and tame inflation reports sparked profit-taking on recent gains.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell 15/32 in price, pushing the yield up to 1.8257 percent.

Brent crude futures for March delivery rose $1.90 to settle at $50.17 a barrel. U.S. crude settled up $2.44 at $48.69 a barrel.

source: interaksyon.com